S&P Global Ratings has revised Bahrain’s outlook to ‘stable’ from ‘negative’ on the back of new fiscal reforms aimed at improving non-oil revenues and cutting state spending, the ratings agency said in a statement.
Rated below investment grade, Bahrain was bailed out to avoid a credit crunch in 2018 with a $10 billion package from wealthy neighbors, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates.
That money was linked to a set of fiscal reforms, but after the coronavirus crisis strained its finances, Bahrain in September postponed plans to balance its budget by two years and announced plans to increase a value-added tax.
“The Bahraini government recently announced additional fiscal reforms to strengthen non-oil revenue and rationalize expenditure. These measures, along with the more supportive oil price environment, should improve the sovereign’s fiscal position,” S&P said in a statement this weekend.
The agency said it expects the government to benefit from additional financial support from its Gulf neighbors, if needed.
Bahrain will double value-added tax to 10 percent next year, a move which S&P estimated could contribute receipts of about 3 percent of gross domestic product in the next few years, up from about 1.7 percent this year.
The Gulf state is also planning to rationalize operational government expenditure and social subsidies in 2023 and 2024, a move which shifts the focus of its reforms more on the spending side than on raising non-oil revenues.
“We believe there is higher implementation risk in expenditure rationalization as the delicate political and social environment on the island, which has constrained the government’s efforts, persists,” S&P said.
China’s home-grown, narrow-body C919 completes first commercial passenger flight
China Eastern Airlines Corp Ltd entered China’s home-grown narrow-body C919 jet into passenger service on Sunday and completed its first commercial flight, marking a milestone in the country’s effort to become more self-reliant. The C919 is the product of state-backed Commercial Aviation Corp of China (COMAC) which began developing the jet 15 years ago to rival Airbus SE’s A320neo and Boeing Co’s 737 MAX single-aisle jet families.
President Xi Jinping has hailed the project as a triumph of Chinese innovation, while on Sunday state media trumpeted the plane as a symbol of industrial prowess and national pride. “After generations of endeavor, we finally broke the West’s aviation monopoly and rid ourselves of the humiliation of ‘800 million shirts for one Boeing’,” Beijing Daily wrote, referring to the early years of economic reform around 40 years ago when China manufactured mainly low-value goods. The C919 took off at 10:32 a.m. (0232 GMT) from Shanghai Hongqiao International Airport where COMAC and China Eastern Airlines are headquartered, and landed two hours later at Beijing Capital Airport, showed flight tracker app Variflight. “I’m confident about the plane. The flight was smoother than ex-pected,” one of about 130 passengers told state broadcaster CCTV as he disembarked. The plane is scheduled to return to Shanghai on Sunday, then make a longer two-way flight to the southwestern city of Chengdu on Monday. Lv Boyuan, a 21-year-old student and aviation enthusiast, was at Shanghai’s airport on Sunday to fly to Chengdu from where he planned to return on the C919 the following day. “I’ve been really looking forward to its flight, especially because it’s a new-generation aircraft, unlike Boeing and Airbus equiva-lents which have been around for a number of years now,” said Lv. The C919 made its first flight in 2017 after years of delays and has undergone numerous test flights since. State-backed China Eastern Airlines ordered five of the jets in March 2021. It took delivery of the first in December and has said it expects to receive the remainder this year. In total, COMAC had won 1,035 orders from 32 customers as at 2022-end. A company official has since told media the figure exceeds 1,200. The planemaker expects annual production to reach 150 C919 jets within five years, domestic media reported in January. Though assembled in China, the C919 relies heavily on Western components, including engines and avionics, from firms including General Electric Co, Safran SA, and Honeywell International Inc. Li Hanming, an independent expert on Chinese aviation, said most C919 orders were letters of intent from domestic customers. Its few foreign customers include lessor GE Capital Aviation Services Ltd. “For the C919, the domestic market is big enough,” Li said. The international market is questionable given that neither European nor US regulators have certificated the aircraft, said Greg Waldron, Asia managing editor of industry publication FlightGlobal. “Until this happens, key international markets will be closed to the C919,” he said. The C919’s predecessor, the ARJ21, is a short-haul 90-seat aircraft that entered commercial operation in 2016 and is flown by major Chinese airlines as well as Indonesia’s TransNusa. The ARJ21’s use in Indonesia indicates the C919’s international future lies mainly in the developing world, Waldron said. COMAC is also developing a CR929 wide-body jet in collaboration with Russia.
JPMorgan names Omar Fichtali as new investment banking head in Saudi Arabia: Report
JPMorgan Chase & Co. has appointed Omar El Amine Fichtali as head of investment banking in Saudi Arabia, according to an internal memo seen by Bloomberg News.
The move comes weeks after one of the lender’s top bankers in the kingdom, Fahad al-Deweesh, left to join Citigroup Inc. as competition for banking talent in the region’s biggest economy heats up.
El Amine Fichtali joined JPMorgan’s London office in 2007 with a focus on technology, media and telecommunications investment banking and has worked in various roles with the Middle East and North Africa investment banking team in Dubai and Riyadh.
He will work closely with Bader Alamoudi, senior country officer for Saudi Arabia, and Khalid Fayez, head of corporate banking for JPMorgan in the Kingdom.
A spokeswoman for the bank confirmed the contents of the memo.
Saudi Arabia is becoming an increasingly important market for global banks as the Kingdom embarks on a plan to diversify its economy away from oil by selling stakes in state-owned companies and investing in new industries.
Even as the global financial community contends with layoffs and lower bonuses, banking jobs remain plentiful in the kingdom and salaries are surging.
Wealth funds such as the Public Investment Fund are also actively recruiting.
JPMorgan is working on Saudi Arabia’s biggest initial public offering of the year so far, the $336 million float of generic drugmaker Jamjoom Pharmaceuticals Factory Co.
China industrial profits slide as weak demand weighs on economy
Profits at industrial firms in China kept falling in the first four months of the year, underlining cooling demand and deepening factory-gate deflation in the world’s second-largest economy.
Industrial profits fell 20.6 percent in the January-April period from the same time frame in 2022, data published Saturday by the National Bureau of Statistics showed.
The drop was slower than a decline of 21.4 percent logged in the first quarter.
Profits for the single month of April were up 3.7 percent from a year earlier, according to NBS figures. That compared with March’s decline of 19.2 percent.
“The weak recovery of effective demand has continued to weigh on the capacity utilization rate, which, coupled with the difficulty to bring down costs, means more patience is needed for the rebound in industrial profit,” said Bruce Pang, chief economist for Greater China at Jones Lang LaSalle Inc. “The year-on-year growth may not return to the positive territory until the fourth quarter.”
More policy support and stimulus are needed for a full-year gain in industrial profit, Pang said.
China’s post-Covid recovery is faltering, recent data has shown, with export growth weakening and industrial deflation worsening in April.
Falling profits bode ill for the economy’s outlook, and are set to weigh on already weak sentiment among businesses — thus holding them back from investing.
Industrial enterprises in China have been struggling to rebound from last year’s Covid-induced slump, even though factory activity has picked up somewhat.
Still, demand for goods remains sluggish, with the economic rebound mainly led by consumer spending in services. Foreign purchases of Chinese products are slowing as the US and other developed economies seek to “de-risk” from China.
Deteriorating producer deflation has also undercut factories’ ability to boost prices, hurting profits. The producer price index fell 3.6 percent on year in April, the biggest decline since May 2020.
Foreign firms registered a 16.2 percent drop in profits in the January-April period, compared with a 24.9 percent decline in the first quarter.
Profits at private firms fell 22.5 percent in the first four months, while those at state-owned enterprises slipped 17.9 percent, according to NBS data.