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Heatwave claims 61,000 lives in Europe’s record-breaking summer, women at double risk


Europe was gripped by a scorching summer in 2022, marked by relentless heatwaves, devastating droughts, and catastrophic forest fires.

Now, new statistics from the Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGlobal) reveal that over 61,000 people perished across the continent last year due to the extreme heat. Meanwhile, women were more than twice as likely to die from the heat than men.

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The figures, released by researchers and published in the journal Nature Medicine, highlighted the urgent need for more effective measures to combat the escalating threat of rising temperatures.

The report from ISGlobal sounded the alarm bells, warning that Europe, currently expe-riencing the highest warming globally, could witness a staggering 68,000 premature, heat-related deaths every summer by the end of the decade unless swift action is taken.

Even more concerning is the projection that by 2040, the continent could witness nearly 100,000 deaths annually due to exposure to extreme heat.

Extreme heat is dangerous for human health because it worsens every medical condition and can cause heat stroke in vulnerable populations like children, the elderly and those who do physical work outside.

Europe experienced the hottest summer on record for the second consecutive year in 2022, according to the EU’s Earth observation agency Copernicus.

The ISGlobal study, conducted in collaboration with the French National Institute of Health (Inserm), delved into temperature and mortality data from 2015 to 2022, cover-ing 823 regions in 35 European countries with a combined population of over 543 mil-ion.

This analysis helped the team formulate epidemiological models and estimate temperature-attributable death rates for each region and week of the summer season.

However, the summer of 2022 proved to be an unprecedented and unrelenting onslaught of scorching heat.

The analysis revealed 61,672 heat-attributable deaths between May 30 and September 4, 2022.

The sun rises behind The Shard skyscraper, as a second heatwave is predicted for parts of the country, in London, Britain, August 11, 2022.  (Reuters)

The sun rises behind The Shard skyscraper, as a second heatwave is predicted for parts of the country, in London, Britain, August 11, 2022. (Reuters)

Startlingly, above-average temperatures persisted throughout the entire summer period.

The deadliest period, from July 11 to August 14, accounted for 38,881 heat-related deaths. Within that period, a pan-European heatwave struck between July 18 and 24, caused 11,637 fatalities.

Among the hardest-hit countries, Italy suffered the highest number of heat-related deaths last summer, with a toll of 18,010 lives lost.

Spain and Germany followed closely, with 11,324 and 8,173 deaths, respectively.

The United Kingdom also faced a grim reality, with an estimated 3,469 deaths attributed to the heatwave of 2022. The data further revealed that Italy had the highest heat-related mortality rate, with 295 deaths per one million residents, followed by Greece (280), Spain (237), and Portugal (211).

The European average stood at 114 deaths per one million people.

When examining temperature anomalies, France experienced the most alarming devia-tion, with temperatures soaring 2.43°C above the average values for the period between 1991 and 2020.

Switzerland (+2.30°C), Italy (+2.28°C), Hungary (+2.13°C), and Spain (+2.11°C) were also significantly impacted by the scorching heat.

Women at risk

The study also shed light on the vulnerability of specific demographic groups, highlighting a stark increase in deaths among older age groups, particularly older women.

Among Europeans under 65 years of age, there were 4,822 heat-related deaths, while the figures rose to 9,226 and 36,848 deaths among those aged 65-79 and over 79, respectively.

Most concerning was the revelation that heat-attributable mortality among women exceeded that of men by a staggering 63 percent continent-wide. In countries like Italy and Greece, the number of heat-related deaths among women was double that of men.

The data suggests that approximately 35,406 premature deaths occurred among women, equating to 145 deaths per million, while an estimated 21,667 deaths were recorded among men, amounting to 93 deaths per million.

This vulnerability was particularly pronounced among those over 80 years of age, where the mortality rate for women was 27 percent higher than that of men.

Impact of global warming

Europe finds itself at the forefront of global warming, with temperatures soaring up to 1°C higher than the global average.

The research team’s estimates paint a dire future if proactive measures are not imple-mented promptly. By 2030, the continent could witness an average of over 68,000 prem-ature deaths every summer, a number that could surge to more than 94,000 by 2040.

The sheer magnitude of heat-related deaths experienced last summer is a somber reminder of the worst toll recorded in 2003, when over 70,000 excess deaths were reported.

“The summer of 2003 was an exceptionally rare phenomenon, even when taking into account the anthropogenic warming observed until then,” explains Joan Ballester Claramunt, first author of the study and researcher at ISGlobal, in a statement.

“This exceptional nature highlighted the lack of prevention plans and the fragility of health systems to cope with climate-related emergencies, something that was to some extent addressed in subsequent years.”

However, the temperatures witnessed in 2022 were not exceptional and could have been predicted by examining previous years’ temperature trends, emphasizing the accelerated pace of warming over the last decade, adds Ballester.

Hicham Achebak, a researcher at Inserm and ISGlobal and the study’s last author, high-lights the urgency of the situation: “The fact that more than 61,600 people in Europe died of heat stress in the summer of 2022, even though many countries already had ac-tive prevention plans in place, suggests that the adaptation strategies currently available may still be insufficient.”

Achebak emphasizes the need to urgently reassess and strengthen prevention plans, considering the differences in vulnerability across European countries and regions and the disparities in age and gender that currently mark the impacts of heat.

As heatwaves become more frequent and severe, the report said governments, institutions, and communities must come together to address the growing threat of climate change, protect vulnerable populations, and develop effective strategies to mitigate the devastating impact of extreme heat on human lives.

Read more:

A look at why heatwaves are getting worse

Over 20,000 deaths during Europe’s hottest summer

Heatwave triggers ‘false autumn’ in UK

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Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi meets with CEOs of leading Norwegian companies

H.H. Sheikh Khaled bin Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi, has met with a group of CEOs from leading Norwegian companies, as part of their participation in the UAE-Norway Investment Forum, held alongside his official visit to the Kingdom of Norway.

During the meeting, H.H. Sheikh Khaled bin Mohamed bin Zayed underscored the UAE leadership’s commitment to strengthening economic cooperation with its international partners.

He highlighted that investment in innovation and knowledge is a cornerstone for achieving sustainable development, noting that enhancing collaboration with Norwegian companies across key sectors will open new avenues for mutual economic growth between the two countries.

The UAE-Norway Investment Forum, taking place in Oslo, aimed to highlight available investment opportunities and strengthen trade relations between the UAE and Norway, fostering shared interests and supporting innovation and knowledge-based economic visions.

-wam

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At the Indonesia International Book Fair 2024, TRENDS inaugurates 10th global office, releases four books

As part of its Asian research tour, partnership with Aletihad News Center, and
primary sponsorship of the Indonesia International Book Fair 2024, TRENDS
Research & Advisory inaugurated its office in Jakarta, marking its 10th location
worldwide. It also released four books in Indonesian.
The inauguration event was attended by ambassadors of the UAE, Bahrain, and
Jordan to Indonesia, chairpersons of the UAE and Indonesian Publishers’
Associations, the Director of TRENDS’ Jakarta office, and a group of researchers
and academics.
Speaking at the event, Dr. Mohammed Abdullah Al-Ali, CEO of TRENDS
Research & Advisory, stated that TRENDS’ international offices—set to reach 15
by the end of 2024—aim to enhance the Center’s research efforts and deepen its
role in disseminating knowledge, thus serving as a global knowledge bridge.
He emphasized, “At TRENDS, we believe in the importance of cooperation
between think tanks and prioritize this endeavor. We believe the TRENDS office in
Jakarta will enhance the exchange of knowledge and ideas between think tanks in
Asia and the Middle East, opening new horizons for collaboration in various
fields.”

Four books in Indonesian
As part of the Jakarta office’s inaugural activities, four books were released in
Indonesian, including the 11th and 12th books of the Muslim Brotherhood
Encyclopedia and Global Trends in AI and Automation and the Future of
Competition between Man and Machine: An Analytical Forward-looking Vision.

Hostility to Arab states
The 11th book of the Muslim Brotherhood Encyclopedia, The Concept of the State
According to the Muslim Brotherhood, highlights its hostile stance toward Arab
states since its inception. The group views them as an obstacle to its ascent to
power. It opposed the modern principles upon which these states were built,
considering them incompatible with the group’s unique interpretation of Islam,
which it claimed to embody exclusively.

Exclusion of nonconformists
The 12th book, The Muslim Brotherhood: Rejection of Tolerance and Exclusion of
Nonconformists, examines the Muslim Brotherhood’s stance towards
nonconformists, individuals, and entities. The book reveals the group’s binary view
of the world, categorizing others as allies or adversaries. It ties these relationships
to the Brotherhood’s internal power struggles and self-serving interests.

Global Trends in AI
The third book, Global Trends in AI, explores significant developments in AI and
its impact on various aspects of life, including the economy, society, and
governance. It also offers a comprehensive analysis of technological advancements
in AI, its applications across sectors, the ethical and social challenges it presents,
and its future trajectory.

Automation

The fourth book, Automation and the Future of Competition between Man and
Machine: An Analytical Forward-looking Vision, addresses the growing challenges
faced by the human workforce in the face of widespread automation and AI
applications. The book concludes that while automation presents a significant
challenge to the labor market, it simultaneously creates new opportunities. It
emphasizes the importance of preparing for this shift through skills development,
continuous education, and adopting economic and social policies that support the
workforce.

Prominent pavilion and active presence
The TRENDS’ pavilion at the Indonesia International Book Fair has attracted
numerous visitors, including academic researchers and officials, such as the
ambassadors of the UAE, Bahrain, Qatar, Jordan, and Turkey. Additionally,
chairpersons of Arab and Indonesian publishers’ associations, authors, publishers,
and students visited the pavilion. All were impressed with and praised TRENDS’ diverse, valuable publications. They also commended TRENDS’ active
international presence and ability to address global developments with rigorous
analytical research.
Dr. Mohammed Abdullah Al-Ali honored the esteemed guests, including
ambassadors of the UAE and Bahrain to Indonesia, Wedha Startesti Yudha,
Chairperson of the Indonesia International Book Fair Committee, Arys Hilman
Nugraha, Chairman of the Indonesian Publishers Association, and others,
presenting them with TRENDS’ publications and commemorative shields.
Additionally, he awarded TRENDS’ Research Medal to Ni Made Ayu Martini
Indonesian Deputy Minister of Marketing, Tourism and Creative Economy
It is worth noting that during its current Asian research tour, TRENDS announced
the launch of the TRENDS Research Medal, awarded to individuals who make
significant contributions to the development of scientific research and promote collaboration with TRENDS in strengthening a culture of research across various fields.

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US determined to prevent full-scale war in Middle East, Joe Biden tells UNGA79

US President Joe Biden highlighted the US Administration’s determination to prevent a wider war that engulfs the entire Middle East region, noting that a diplomatic solution “remains the only path to lasting security to allow the residents from both countries to return to their homes on the border safely”.

In remarks he made today before the 79th Session of the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA79), the US President said, “Full-scale war is not in anyone’s interest,” adding that a diplomatic solution is still possible.

He also touched on “the rise of violence against innocent Palestinians on the West Bank”, and the need to “set the conditions for a better future”, which he said featured “a two-state solution, where the world — where Israel enjoys security and peace and full recognition and normalised relations with all its neighbours, where Palestinians live in security, dignity, and self-determination in a state of their own”.

President Biden underscored the ceasefire and hostage deal put forth by Qatar and Egypt, which the UN Security Council endorsed. He said, “Now is the time for the parties to finalise its terms, bring the hostages home,” adding that this would help ease the suffering in Gaza, and end the war.

-WAM

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