For more than 15 months Russia has been fighting a war in Ukraine that the Kremlin refused to call a war – but that is changing: President Vladimir Putin is using the word “war” more often.
When Putin sent troops into Ukraine on Feb. 24 last year, he called it “a special military operation” – a euphemism the Kremlin, Russian ministers and state media mostly stuck to, even coining a new Russian acronym, the “SVO.”
Calling the conflict a war was effectively outlawed for the Russian media by a series of very broad laws soon after the invasion. The Russian media was ordered not to use the word war – and has either complied or shut down.
But in response to what Russia said was a major Ukrainian drone attack on Moscow, Putin last week used the word “war” four times in relation to Ukraine, according to a Kremlin transcript of his remarks.
“No matter what we say, they will always look to apportion the blame in Russia, but this is not right: we did not unleash this war, I repeat, in 2014 – the Kyiv regime unleashed war in the Donbas,” Putin said.
That remark was shown by Rossiya state television’s most important Sunday slot. Kremlin correspondent Pavel Zarubin told viewers that Putin was devoting significant amounts of time to the conflict behind the scenes.
The conflict in eastern Ukraine began in 2014 after a pro-Russian president was toppled in Ukraine’s Maidan Revolution and Russia annexed Crimea, with Russian-backed separatist forces fighting Ukraine’s armed forces.
On the May 9 Victory Day, when Russians commemorate the Soviet Union’s victory over Nazi Germany in World War Two, Putin told veterans on Red Square: “A real war has been unleashed against our Motherland again.”
In recent months, Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu, Kremlin Spokesman Dmitry Peskov, Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, and Wagner mercenary Yevgeny Prigozhin have all used the word war – or “voina” in Russian – in public.
“We are basically living in the conditions of war,” said Vyacheslav Gladkov, the governor of Russia’s Belgorod region which has come under attack in recent weeks.
In private, the Russian elite calls it a war.
The creeping acceptance of war even in public gives a sense of how the Kremlin’s perceptions have changed – and may give a taste of the future after more than 15 months of the most deadly war in Europe since World War Two.
“It is striking just how Putin and the elite appear to be breaking their own rules,” said one Western diplomat in Moscow.
“What is more important is what is says about the future: does war mean a more serious approach and what will Russia at war look like?”
War
Euphemisms for war are nothing new.
US President Lyndon B. Johnson cast growing involvement in the Vietnam war as “limited military action” while the 2001 US invasion of Afghanistan was cast as “Operation Enduring Freedom” by US President George W. Bush.
When Soviet General Secretary Leonid Brezhnev triggered the 10-year Afghan-Soviet war in 1979, Moscow cast the invasion as an operation “to provide international assistance to the friendly Afghan people.”
“You must remember and be aware that the SVO was invented at a time when they thought they would win quickly and bloodlessly, like in the Crimea,” said Abbas Gallyamov, a former Kremlin speech writer.
“But now it is clear to everyone that this is a war. And it became clear a long time ago when everyone realized that the blitzkrieg had failed.”
Kremlin transcripts show Putin has recently repeatedly used the word in relation to what he says is an information and sanctions “war” unleashed by the West against Russia as well as blaming Ukraine for a conflict that is now spilling over.
Last year, he used the term sparingly.
When he claimed four Ukrainian regions as parts of Russia in September, he described the conflict as a war, in October he said the West was “inciting war”, and in December was even more explicit, talking of “this war.”
That prompted Nikita Yuferev, a councilor in St. Petersburg, to file a complaint. It went nowhere, Yuferev said, along with complaints against the use of the word by other officials.
“Sooner or later we are going to get to the point when everyone calls it a war and recognizes it as a war,” Yuferev told Reuters. “And war can mean martial law, the mobilization of the economy, mobilization of the military and reservists.”
Russia at war
The Kremlin has said there is no plan for martial law or a further mobilization after a limited one last year.
But Putin approved amendments last month allowing elections under martial law and defense companies have brought in extra shifts to work almost around the clock.
Attacks far inside Russia that Moscow blamed on Ukraine have stiffened opinion within the Kremlin, emboldening hawks who propose a much tougher approach to a war in which Putin has said Russia has not got even got serious yet.
In Moscow, the war is cast as existential, and decorated with Russian Orthodox symbolism.
Russian mercenary Prigozhin, who accuses Putin’s top brass of ruining the Russian army, raised the prospect of events unfolding as they did under the dictatorship of Chile’s General Augusto Pinochet.
“People write to me that we need to do a Chile to defend ourselves: Chile – that is a Pinochet; Chile is the elite of Russia – or above all the bureaucratic elite – in a stadium surrounded by people with automatic weapons,” Prigozhin said.
“This is not a game,” he said. “We are losing this war.”
Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi meets with CEOs of leading Norwegian companies
H.H. Sheikh Khaled bin Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi, has met with a group of CEOs from leading Norwegian companies, as part of their participation in the UAE-Norway Investment Forum, held alongside his official visit to the Kingdom of Norway.
During the meeting, H.H. Sheikh Khaled bin Mohamed bin Zayed underscored the UAE leadership’s commitment to strengthening economic cooperation with its international partners.
He highlighted that investment in innovation and knowledge is a cornerstone for achieving sustainable development, noting that enhancing collaboration with Norwegian companies across key sectors will open new avenues for mutual economic growth between the two countries.
The UAE-Norway Investment Forum, taking place in Oslo, aimed to highlight available investment opportunities and strengthen trade relations between the UAE and Norway, fostering shared interests and supporting innovation and knowledge-based economic visions.
At the Indonesia International Book Fair 2024, TRENDS inaugurates 10th global office, releases four books
As part of its Asian research tour, partnership with Aletihad News Center, and
primary sponsorship of the Indonesia International Book Fair 2024, TRENDS
Research & Advisory inaugurated its office in Jakarta, marking its 10th location
worldwide. It also released four books in Indonesian.
The inauguration event was attended by ambassadors of the UAE, Bahrain, and
Jordan to Indonesia, chairpersons of the UAE and Indonesian Publishers’
Associations, the Director of TRENDS’ Jakarta office, and a group of researchers
and academics.
Speaking at the event, Dr. Mohammed Abdullah Al-Ali, CEO of TRENDS
Research & Advisory, stated that TRENDS’ international offices—set to reach 15
by the end of 2024—aim to enhance the Center’s research efforts and deepen its
role in disseminating knowledge, thus serving as a global knowledge bridge.
He emphasized, “At TRENDS, we believe in the importance of cooperation
between think tanks and prioritize this endeavor. We believe the TRENDS office in
Jakarta will enhance the exchange of knowledge and ideas between think tanks in
Asia and the Middle East, opening new horizons for collaboration in various
fields.”
Four books in Indonesian
As part of the Jakarta office’s inaugural activities, four books were released in
Indonesian, including the 11th and 12th books of the Muslim Brotherhood
Encyclopedia and Global Trends in AI and Automation and the Future of
Competition between Man and Machine: An Analytical Forward-looking Vision.
Hostility to Arab states
The 11th book of the Muslim Brotherhood Encyclopedia, The Concept of the State
According to the Muslim Brotherhood, highlights its hostile stance toward Arab
states since its inception. The group views them as an obstacle to its ascent to
power. It opposed the modern principles upon which these states were built,
considering them incompatible with the group’s unique interpretation of Islam,
which it claimed to embody exclusively.
Exclusion of nonconformists
The 12th book, The Muslim Brotherhood: Rejection of Tolerance and Exclusion of
Nonconformists, examines the Muslim Brotherhood’s stance towards
nonconformists, individuals, and entities. The book reveals the group’s binary view
of the world, categorizing others as allies or adversaries. It ties these relationships
to the Brotherhood’s internal power struggles and self-serving interests.
Global Trends in AI
The third book, Global Trends in AI, explores significant developments in AI and
its impact on various aspects of life, including the economy, society, and
governance. It also offers a comprehensive analysis of technological advancements
in AI, its applications across sectors, the ethical and social challenges it presents,
and its future trajectory.
Automation
The fourth book, Automation and the Future of Competition between Man and
Machine: An Analytical Forward-looking Vision, addresses the growing challenges
faced by the human workforce in the face of widespread automation and AI
applications. The book concludes that while automation presents a significant
challenge to the labor market, it simultaneously creates new opportunities. It
emphasizes the importance of preparing for this shift through skills development,
continuous education, and adopting economic and social policies that support the
workforce.
Prominent pavilion and active presence
The TRENDS’ pavilion at the Indonesia International Book Fair has attracted
numerous visitors, including academic researchers and officials, such as the
ambassadors of the UAE, Bahrain, Qatar, Jordan, and Turkey. Additionally,
chairpersons of Arab and Indonesian publishers’ associations, authors, publishers,
and students visited the pavilion. All were impressed with and praised TRENDS’ diverse, valuable publications. They also commended TRENDS’ active
international presence and ability to address global developments with rigorous
analytical research.
Dr. Mohammed Abdullah Al-Ali honored the esteemed guests, including
ambassadors of the UAE and Bahrain to Indonesia, Wedha Startesti Yudha,
Chairperson of the Indonesia International Book Fair Committee, Arys Hilman
Nugraha, Chairman of the Indonesian Publishers Association, and others,
presenting them with TRENDS’ publications and commemorative shields.
Additionally, he awarded TRENDS’ Research Medal to Ni Made Ayu Martini
Indonesian Deputy Minister of Marketing, Tourism and Creative Economy
It is worth noting that during its current Asian research tour, TRENDS announced
the launch of the TRENDS Research Medal, awarded to individuals who make
significant contributions to the development of scientific research and promote collaboration with TRENDS in strengthening a culture of research across various fields.
US determined to prevent full-scale war in Middle East, Joe Biden tells UNGA79
US President Joe Biden highlighted the US Administration’s determination to prevent a wider war that engulfs the entire Middle East region, noting that a diplomatic solution “remains the only path to lasting security to allow the residents from both countries to return to their homes on the border safely”.
In remarks he made today before the 79th Session of the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA79), the US President said, “Full-scale war is not in anyone’s interest,” adding that a diplomatic solution is still possible.
He also touched on “the rise of violence against innocent Palestinians on the West Bank”, and the need to “set the conditions for a better future”, which he said featured “a two-state solution, where the world — where Israel enjoys security and peace and full recognition and normalised relations with all its neighbours, where Palestinians live in security, dignity, and self-determination in a state of their own”.
President Biden underscored the ceasefire and hostage deal put forth by Qatar and Egypt, which the UN Security Council endorsed. He said, “Now is the time for the parties to finalise its terms, bring the hostages home,” adding that this would help ease the suffering in Gaza, and end the war.