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Macron hopes ‘cathartic’ walkabouts will soothe pension anger in France


French President Emmanuel Macron has thrown himself into what he calls a “catharsis” operation by confronting angry voters in a series of walkabouts, an attempt to regain control of the narrative that could also expose how distant he has become.

After weeks of protests against his decision to raise the minimum pension age by two years, Macron’s popularity ratings have plunged to near record-low levels, threatening to paralyze his reform agenda and turn him into a lame duck.
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Macron, who cannot stand again in 2027, needs to cool the political temperature to strike deals on pay and conditions with unions over the next few months, but also to prevent far-right leader Marine Le Pen from capitalizing on the discontent in future elections.

The French leader has embarked on a nationwide PR offensive, with several walkabouts in French towns and villages a week — a shift in communication strategy after staying out of the public eye for most of the pension debate.

Be it a charming Alsacian village, a remote Mediterranean town or a medical center in the Loire valley, the response has been the same: seething anger, finger-pointing, boos and pot banging.

In a Burgundy food market on Thursday, Macron was harangued by a man who decried the high level of government debt, the lack of investment in hospitals and punitive local taxes.

“You talk a lot of nonsense everyday,” the man told Macron, after the president, barely able to squeeze in an answer, said he should get his numbers right.

Such direct confrontations, the president reckons, are essential to give people a cathartic release after weeks of anger directed at the government’s pension bill and Macron himself.

An Elysee insider told Reuters Macron came up with the strategy himself, deciding it was better to let pent-up frustration come out now than let it fester.

“The logic of what I'm doing in the coming days, weeks and months is to let this anger come out in a totally legitimate way,” Macron told reporters in Alsace last week.

The move echoes Macron's decision in 2019 to launch what he called a “great debate” following the yellow-vest rebellion, a broad anti-government movement triggered by high fuel prices.

In this instance, weeks of town-hall meetings across the country helped him stage a political come-back by appearing to listen more to people.

Visceral rejection

Repeating that feat will be hard, however.

An opinion poll by pollster Ifop taken exactly a year after Macron’s re-election and a few days after he signed the pension reform into law, showed his popularity ratings close to lows reached during the yellow-vest crisis.

Within that, the share of voters “very unhappy” with him reached 47 percent in April, a 7-point increase in a month and a record-high for this sub-segment.

“We can observe a visceral and gut-deep rejection among almost one in two French people,” Ifop’s Frederic Dabi said.

Macron has crystallized anger with a series of faux pas and cutting remarks over the past six years that have left a lasting impression of haughtiness among the general public.

“The French don’t want to listen to him anymore,” Julien Odoul, a far-right lawmaker said. “It’s not brave to meet the French, it’s just the president’s job.”

For many government officials, the hatred appears irrational given Macron’s positive record on the economy, with unemployment down to a 15-year low, inflation among the lowest in Europe, and the economy escaping recession so far.

But a comeback is made all the more difficult by a hardening of political opposition in parliament.

Before the pension reform protests, the government managed to pass legislation on issues such as nuclear energy and renewables with the help of both left-wing and right-wing lawmakers outside Macron’s centrist alliance.

But making deals with other parties is now more difficult.

The hard-left NUPES alliance has adopted a strategy to demonize Macron. Making deals with the far-right, meanwhile, would play

into the hands of Le Pen, who wants to “normalize” her party to boost her governing credentials.

The conservative Les Republicains (LR), a natural ally on economic and law and order reforms, was badly split by the pension episode, and can no longer be relied on.

That was apparent again this week, when his prime minister Elisabeth Borne was forced to give up on an immigration bill.

She had to admit she had failed to reach a deal with LR on the legislation, which aimed to please both left-wing and right-wing voters by speeding-up expulsions of illegal migrants while making it easier to obtain residency permits for those who work in sectors struggling to find workers.

Roadmap unclear

The government has this week published a “roadmap” of what it wants to achieve this year. Its next big reform is a plan to make those receiving the minimum welfare benefit work or get training for 15-20 hours a week.

That’s already causing unease. Martin Hirsh, an influential voice on poverty issues who worked in former president Nicolas Sarkozy’s government said it would amount to “unpaid work” and was a “terrifying” prospect.

All of this is made trickier in the context of rising interest rates on a debt pile worth 112 percent of GDP.

The government is working on a spending review. No details have been revealed so far but cutting spending could prove politically explosive.
The government can always use executive powers to pass the budget bill at the end of the year, but the reputational costs of doing so are high — as the pension bill showed.

At the food market, however, Macron appeared determined to carry on.

“Some people are not happy, some people tell me off, but you can talk. And sometimes you can convince them,” he said with a smile.
Read more:

Macron cleared to raise French retirement age, protesters vow to fight on

Last-ditch protests in France over Macron’s pension reform

Pension protests to bring ‘maximum’ workers in France after union talks fail

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Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi meets with CEOs of leading Norwegian companies

H.H. Sheikh Khaled bin Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi, has met with a group of CEOs from leading Norwegian companies, as part of their participation in the UAE-Norway Investment Forum, held alongside his official visit to the Kingdom of Norway.

During the meeting, H.H. Sheikh Khaled bin Mohamed bin Zayed underscored the UAE leadership’s commitment to strengthening economic cooperation with its international partners.

He highlighted that investment in innovation and knowledge is a cornerstone for achieving sustainable development, noting that enhancing collaboration with Norwegian companies across key sectors will open new avenues for mutual economic growth between the two countries.

The UAE-Norway Investment Forum, taking place in Oslo, aimed to highlight available investment opportunities and strengthen trade relations between the UAE and Norway, fostering shared interests and supporting innovation and knowledge-based economic visions.

-wam

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At the Indonesia International Book Fair 2024, TRENDS inaugurates 10th global office, releases four books

As part of its Asian research tour, partnership with Aletihad News Center, and
primary sponsorship of the Indonesia International Book Fair 2024, TRENDS
Research & Advisory inaugurated its office in Jakarta, marking its 10th location
worldwide. It also released four books in Indonesian.
The inauguration event was attended by ambassadors of the UAE, Bahrain, and
Jordan to Indonesia, chairpersons of the UAE and Indonesian Publishers’
Associations, the Director of TRENDS’ Jakarta office, and a group of researchers
and academics.
Speaking at the event, Dr. Mohammed Abdullah Al-Ali, CEO of TRENDS
Research & Advisory, stated that TRENDS’ international offices—set to reach 15
by the end of 2024—aim to enhance the Center’s research efforts and deepen its
role in disseminating knowledge, thus serving as a global knowledge bridge.
He emphasized, “At TRENDS, we believe in the importance of cooperation
between think tanks and prioritize this endeavor. We believe the TRENDS office in
Jakarta will enhance the exchange of knowledge and ideas between think tanks in
Asia and the Middle East, opening new horizons for collaboration in various
fields.”

Four books in Indonesian
As part of the Jakarta office’s inaugural activities, four books were released in
Indonesian, including the 11th and 12th books of the Muslim Brotherhood
Encyclopedia and Global Trends in AI and Automation and the Future of
Competition between Man and Machine: An Analytical Forward-looking Vision.

Hostility to Arab states
The 11th book of the Muslim Brotherhood Encyclopedia, The Concept of the State
According to the Muslim Brotherhood, highlights its hostile stance toward Arab
states since its inception. The group views them as an obstacle to its ascent to
power. It opposed the modern principles upon which these states were built,
considering them incompatible with the group’s unique interpretation of Islam,
which it claimed to embody exclusively.

Exclusion of nonconformists
The 12th book, The Muslim Brotherhood: Rejection of Tolerance and Exclusion of
Nonconformists, examines the Muslim Brotherhood’s stance towards
nonconformists, individuals, and entities. The book reveals the group’s binary view
of the world, categorizing others as allies or adversaries. It ties these relationships
to the Brotherhood’s internal power struggles and self-serving interests.

Global Trends in AI
The third book, Global Trends in AI, explores significant developments in AI and
its impact on various aspects of life, including the economy, society, and
governance. It also offers a comprehensive analysis of technological advancements
in AI, its applications across sectors, the ethical and social challenges it presents,
and its future trajectory.

Automation

The fourth book, Automation and the Future of Competition between Man and
Machine: An Analytical Forward-looking Vision, addresses the growing challenges
faced by the human workforce in the face of widespread automation and AI
applications. The book concludes that while automation presents a significant
challenge to the labor market, it simultaneously creates new opportunities. It
emphasizes the importance of preparing for this shift through skills development,
continuous education, and adopting economic and social policies that support the
workforce.

Prominent pavilion and active presence
The TRENDS’ pavilion at the Indonesia International Book Fair has attracted
numerous visitors, including academic researchers and officials, such as the
ambassadors of the UAE, Bahrain, Qatar, Jordan, and Turkey. Additionally,
chairpersons of Arab and Indonesian publishers’ associations, authors, publishers,
and students visited the pavilion. All were impressed with and praised TRENDS’ diverse, valuable publications. They also commended TRENDS’ active
international presence and ability to address global developments with rigorous
analytical research.
Dr. Mohammed Abdullah Al-Ali honored the esteemed guests, including
ambassadors of the UAE and Bahrain to Indonesia, Wedha Startesti Yudha,
Chairperson of the Indonesia International Book Fair Committee, Arys Hilman
Nugraha, Chairman of the Indonesian Publishers Association, and others,
presenting them with TRENDS’ publications and commemorative shields.
Additionally, he awarded TRENDS’ Research Medal to Ni Made Ayu Martini
Indonesian Deputy Minister of Marketing, Tourism and Creative Economy
It is worth noting that during its current Asian research tour, TRENDS announced
the launch of the TRENDS Research Medal, awarded to individuals who make
significant contributions to the development of scientific research and promote collaboration with TRENDS in strengthening a culture of research across various fields.

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US determined to prevent full-scale war in Middle East, Joe Biden tells UNGA79

US President Joe Biden highlighted the US Administration’s determination to prevent a wider war that engulfs the entire Middle East region, noting that a diplomatic solution “remains the only path to lasting security to allow the residents from both countries to return to their homes on the border safely”.

In remarks he made today before the 79th Session of the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA79), the US President said, “Full-scale war is not in anyone’s interest,” adding that a diplomatic solution is still possible.

He also touched on “the rise of violence against innocent Palestinians on the West Bank”, and the need to “set the conditions for a better future”, which he said featured “a two-state solution, where the world — where Israel enjoys security and peace and full recognition and normalised relations with all its neighbours, where Palestinians live in security, dignity, and self-determination in a state of their own”.

President Biden underscored the ceasefire and hostage deal put forth by Qatar and Egypt, which the UN Security Council endorsed. He said, “Now is the time for the parties to finalise its terms, bring the hostages home,” adding that this would help ease the suffering in Gaza, and end the war.

-WAM

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